It really shouldn't be close at all, there is no choice for reasonable people. An articulate, intelligent, conscientious, energetic, successful person with a vision for moving America forward in excellent ways vs. a convicted felon who instigated a lethal insurrection against the country/Constitution he took an oath to protect as well as defying the espionage act with the theft of top secret documents and who has nothing to offer America except cozying up to dictators, advancement of white supremacy, division and tax cuts for the very wealthy.
During Democrats, lower and middle class increase standard of living. During Republicans, billionaires become richer and lower and middle class Americans needs are ignored. That's a FACT.
Imagine wearing these kinds of t-shirts in a red state 👇 🤣
------------ TO EVERYONE WHO INTENDS TO MAIL IN YOUR BALLOT ---------
PLEASE MAKE SURE TO DATE IT, SIGN IT AND FOLLOW ALL THE OFFICIAL DIRECTIONS.
MR. DEJOY, A BIG TRUMP FAN, STILL RUNS THE POST OFFICE, SO MAKE SURE TO MAIL YOUR BALLOT IN NOW, NO LATER THAN OCTOBER 25th TO MAKE SURE IT ARRIVES ON TIME AND WILL BE COUNTED. IN ADDITION, FOR YOUR OWN AND YOUR FAMILY'S HEALTH AND PRESERVATION I SUGGEST YOU VOTE BLUE UP AND DOWN YOUR BALLOT FOR ALL STATE AND FEDERAL CANDIDATES. MAY WE ALL HAVE A HAPPY HOLIDAY SEASON IF ALL GOES WELL.
I would not trust the post office with my ballot. I want to make sure it gets there. Because I was watching my 2020 ballot, I realized that a week after I sent it from the same town it still was not received. I was able to get another ballot and get it in before the election, I will never trust mailing it again. I will always bring it to a drop box!
Energy and enthusiasm are proving BIG for the Dems...it certainly was hoped for after Joe Biden abandoned his reëlection bid, but honestly, these early-vote numbers are YUUGE! And notably, the female v male divide is crazy!
GOP hoped tRump would pump up the young-male cohort, but their historical low-participation numbers don't seem to be altered by tRump's macho pitch...too busy cracking 'nother can of Coors Lite to give a fuck.
I live in Pennsylvania, I requested a mail in ballot. I made sure I signed it, dated, double checked, etc. The one very important thing that I DID NOT do, was to check & see if it was a pre-paid envelope. As I was dropping it in the mail box, I saw the 'First Class Postage Here', and luckily caught it in time! The bad thing is, I don't have a stamp, or a car (had to sell my car due to being hospitalized for so long with Covid complications - long story) or a way to get to the post office to get a stamp :/ I couldn't wait to be able to say, "Yay, I voted!!" Oh well.... I will grab my cane/walker and hike it if I have to (I live in small-town red rural PA), just to do my part to beat tRump!! Ain't no mountain 🏔️ high enough to keep this Gen X'er from voting!!! 🗳️📊✔️
I do not think the poles are correct at all. I got my ballot three days ago, Vote Democrat down the ballot, took it to my polling place and now wait to see that Kamala will be the first woman President of this great country. I pray it will be a landslide !! Vote Please and go Blue for democracy !!
Thank you Ben, Simon and Tom for your excellent reporting. For anyone who feels anxious about this election, quell your nerves by Doing Something. I mailed 200 GOTV postcards to Wisconsin today. This weekend I’ll be distributing door hanger voting guides in my local California precinct. Call your local Democratic HQ to find out where help is needed. Doing Something feels good!
I found a state-by-state table describing in detail how each state reports election information - BUT - that was a 2020 project done by 538.com. It was really quite informative. Here is the link:
Where is the information cited above coming from? It's not vote count information from the state(s). It can't be related to the actual ballots. I don't understand how folks know what the gender/age/party breakdown is....
I can’t speak to other states but where I live, whether I’ve requested an absentee ballot, it’s been mailed to me, and I’ve returned it is all a matter of public record. Since the campaigns have been able to identify Rs, Ds, Is, Greens, etc. through other info (e.g., contributions, mailing lists, text and email responses to campaigns, door knocking, etc.), they have a good idea as to who’s voting R, D, and other. They don’t know for certain, of course, as they’re not reviewing actual ballots, but they’ve enough information to get a pretty good picture.
It really shouldn't be close at all, there is no choice for reasonable people. An articulate, intelligent, conscientious, energetic, successful person with a vision for moving America forward in excellent ways vs. a convicted felon who instigated a lethal insurrection against the country/Constitution he took an oath to protect as well as defying the espionage act with the theft of top secret documents and who has nothing to offer America except cozying up to dictators, advancement of white supremacy, division and tax cuts for the very wealthy.
During Democrats, lower and middle class increase standard of living. During Republicans, billionaires become richer and lower and middle class Americans needs are ignored. That's a FACT.
Imagine wearing these kinds of t-shirts in a red state 👇 🤣
teespring.com/stores/libtees-2
Kamala: The only choice. She will preserve our Democracy.
Can't wait to vote for our FIRST woman president!
Very well said.
------------ TO EVERYONE WHO INTENDS TO MAIL IN YOUR BALLOT ---------
PLEASE MAKE SURE TO DATE IT, SIGN IT AND FOLLOW ALL THE OFFICIAL DIRECTIONS.
MR. DEJOY, A BIG TRUMP FAN, STILL RUNS THE POST OFFICE, SO MAKE SURE TO MAIL YOUR BALLOT IN NOW, NO LATER THAN OCTOBER 25th TO MAKE SURE IT ARRIVES ON TIME AND WILL BE COUNTED. IN ADDITION, FOR YOUR OWN AND YOUR FAMILY'S HEALTH AND PRESERVATION I SUGGEST YOU VOTE BLUE UP AND DOWN YOUR BALLOT FOR ALL STATE AND FEDERAL CANDIDATES. MAY WE ALL HAVE A HAPPY HOLIDAY SEASON IF ALL GOES WELL.
I would not trust the post office with my ballot. I want to make sure it gets there. Because I was watching my 2020 ballot, I realized that a week after I sent it from the same town it still was not received. I was able to get another ballot and get it in before the election, I will never trust mailing it again. I will always bring it to a drop box!
Just sad that some people have to travel many, many miles to find one.
Voted early in New Mexico (maybe not so important) and still writing Vote Forward letters to low propensity voters in North Carolina.
All great news that is not reflected in polling averages. Great to see.
tbh polls aren't accurate and shouldn't be trusted
I voted yesterday here in Arizona. I got a mail in ballot and dropped it in a drop box. Vote blue!
Energy and enthusiasm are proving BIG for the Dems...it certainly was hoped for after Joe Biden abandoned his reëlection bid, but honestly, these early-vote numbers are YUUGE! And notably, the female v male divide is crazy!
GOP hoped tRump would pump up the young-male cohort, but their historical low-participation numbers don't seem to be altered by tRump's macho pitch...too busy cracking 'nother can of Coors Lite to give a fuck.
I'm overseas and have already voted. Democrats Abroad is calling everyone to make sure they're voting.
I live in Pennsylvania, I requested a mail in ballot. I made sure I signed it, dated, double checked, etc. The one very important thing that I DID NOT do, was to check & see if it was a pre-paid envelope. As I was dropping it in the mail box, I saw the 'First Class Postage Here', and luckily caught it in time! The bad thing is, I don't have a stamp, or a car (had to sell my car due to being hospitalized for so long with Covid complications - long story) or a way to get to the post office to get a stamp :/ I couldn't wait to be able to say, "Yay, I voted!!" Oh well.... I will grab my cane/walker and hike it if I have to (I live in small-town red rural PA), just to do my part to beat tRump!! Ain't no mountain 🏔️ high enough to keep this Gen X'er from voting!!! 🗳️📊✔️
I will get it done this weekend.
I do not think the poles are correct at all. I got my ballot three days ago, Vote Democrat down the ballot, took it to my polling place and now wait to see that Kamala will be the first woman President of this great country. I pray it will be a landslide !! Vote Please and go Blue for democracy !!
Thank you Ben, Simon and Tom for your excellent reporting. For anyone who feels anxious about this election, quell your nerves by Doing Something. I mailed 200 GOTV postcards to Wisconsin today. This weekend I’ll be distributing door hanger voting guides in my local California precinct. Call your local Democratic HQ to find out where help is needed. Doing Something feels good!
Early voting is also a way to avoid the debacles that may emerge during the main event. Like crazies deciding to turn up and ‘audit’ the activities.
Why is all the Pennsylvania early vote mail, as opposed to in person? Like in Georgia.
Tom and Simon were very interesting and I like their data and their information about elections!
I found a state-by-state table describing in detail how each state reports election information - BUT - that was a 2020 project done by 538.com. It was really quite informative. Here is the link:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/
The closest to it for 2024 seems to be from the National Conference of State Legislatures with table 16:
https://www.ncsl.org/elections-and-campaigns/table-16-when-absentee-mail-ballot-processing-and-counting-can-begin
My question:
Where is the information cited above coming from? It's not vote count information from the state(s). It can't be related to the actual ballots. I don't understand how folks know what the gender/age/party breakdown is....
Help?
Thanks.
I can’t speak to other states but where I live, whether I’ve requested an absentee ballot, it’s been mailed to me, and I’ve returned it is all a matter of public record. Since the campaigns have been able to identify Rs, Ds, Is, Greens, etc. through other info (e.g., contributions, mailing lists, text and email responses to campaigns, door knocking, etc.), they have a good idea as to who’s voting R, D, and other. They don’t know for certain, of course, as they’re not reviewing actual ballots, but they’ve enough information to get a pretty good picture.